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♠️♠️ Suited Connector Saturday: Would You Find This Semi-Bluff?

Small cards, big plans

♠️♠️ Suited Connector Saturday: Would you find this Semi-Bluff?

$1/$3 Live – $500 Effective


MP opens to $15
BTN calls
We’re in the Big Blind with 5♥️ 4♥️ — we call.

🧠 Flop: A♠️ J♥️ 5♣️ (Pot: $45)

We check. MP bets $20. BTN folds.

What do we have?

  • Bottom pair (drawing to 2 pair or three-of-a-kind)✅

  • Backdoor straight draw ✅

  • Backdoor flush draw ✅

Not amazing, but playable. There’s enough equity and clarity in how we improve — we call.

🔄 Turn: 2♦️ (Pot: $85)

We check. MP bets $50.

Now it gets interesting.

Let’s zoom in on what changed:

  • ✅ This is not great card for MP’s range — Almost none of their hands improve.

  • ✅ It's a good card for our hand — we now have gutshot to the nuts, and we block the nuts.

  • ✅ We’ve got value hands that raise here — 55, A5s, A2s — so our raise is credible.

📣 Pay Attention

If you’re not semi-bluffing with this hand, are you ever semi-bluffing here?

If not, that’s a repeatable leak — and this is where it shows up.

💰 Let’s Talk Sizing

Last week in ♠️♠️ Suited Connector Saturday: Turning Draws Into Pressure and Profit, we covered turn sizing and how crucial it is to set up a credible river shove. Go through that exercise now, what’s a good size? Take 10 seconds to think about it.

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Run the math: if we raise to $125 and MP calls…

  • Pot on river = $335

  • Our stack = $290

Perfect. A roughly pot-sized bet remains.

We raise to $125. MP calls.

🏁 River: 7♦️ (Pot: $335)

This card changes nothing.

It doesn't help MP’s top pair hands.
It doesn't block any of our value.
It’s a green light.

If you’re not bluffing here — what hand are you bluffing with?

  • ✅ MP can fold hands like AQ, AK, AJ

  • ✅ We have almost full pot behind — enough to gain fold equity

We jam $290.
MP tanks, sighs and says, “I don’t even see any draws,”…and folds AQ.

🧠 Your Mission

Next time you play, challenge yourself:

Find one turn spot where you can pull the trigger with a semi-bluff.

Look for a decent draw, some fold equity, and a sizing that sets up the river.

Then ask yourself:
Would I have found this spot a week ago?

Let me know how it goes — I want to hear what you came up with.

Stay sharp and curious,

Mike

Want 1-on-1 help with turning suited connectors profitable?


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