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♠️♠️ Suited Connector Saturday: Would You Find This Semi-Bluff?
Small cards, big plans


♠️♠️ Suited Connector Saturday: Would you find this Semi-Bluff?
$1/$3 Live – $500 Effective
MP opens to $15
BTN calls
We’re in the Big Blind with 5♥️ 4♥️ — we call.
🧠 Flop: A♠️ J♥️ 5♣️ (Pot: $45)
We check. MP bets $20. BTN folds.
What do we have?
Bottom pair (drawing to 2 pair or three-of-a-kind)✅
Backdoor straight draw ✅
Backdoor flush draw ✅
Not amazing, but playable. There’s enough equity and clarity in how we improve — we call.
🔄 Turn: 2♦️ (Pot: $85)
We check. MP bets $50.
Now it gets interesting.
Let’s zoom in on what changed:
✅ This is not great card for MP’s range — Almost none of their hands improve.
✅ It's a good card for our hand — we now have gutshot to the nuts, and we block the nuts.
✅ We’ve got value hands that raise here — 55, A5s, A2s — so our raise is credible.
📣 Pay Attention
If you’re not semi-bluffing with this hand, are you ever semi-bluffing here?
If not, that’s a repeatable leak — and this is where it shows up.
💰 Let’s Talk Sizing
Last week in ♠️♠️ Suited Connector Saturday: Turning Draws Into Pressure and Profit, we covered turn sizing and how crucial it is to set up a credible river shove. Go through that exercise now, what’s a good size? Take 10 seconds to think about it.
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Run the math: if we raise to $125 and MP calls…
Pot on river = $335
Our stack = $290
Perfect. A roughly pot-sized bet remains.
We raise to $125. MP calls.
🏁 River: 7♦️ (Pot: $335)
This card changes nothing.
It doesn't help MP’s top pair hands.
It doesn't block any of our value.
It’s a green light.
If you’re not bluffing here — what hand are you bluffing with?
✅ MP can fold hands like AQ, AK, AJ
✅ We have almost full pot behind — enough to gain fold equity
We jam $290.
MP tanks, sighs and says, “I don’t even see any draws,”…and folds AQ.
🧠 Your Mission
Next time you play, challenge yourself:
Find one turn spot where you can pull the trigger with a semi-bluff.
Look for a decent draw, some fold equity, and a sizing that sets up the river.
Then ask yourself:
Would I have found this spot a week ago?
Let me know how it goes — I want to hear what you came up with.
Stay sharp and curious,
— Mike
Want 1-on-1 help with turning suited connectors profitable?
Book a coaching session and we’ll have your opponents fearing monsters under the bed.
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